Posted on 06 May 2011 at 18:50 PM by Big Man with Football
The dust has finally settled on the 2011 NFL draft, with all 32
franchises and their fans currently analysing their performances to
assess how well fixed they are for depth in each of the key areas of
their offense and defense for next season. If you look hard enough,
you'll find every club pitched as either a winner or a loser in some
column somewhere in the aftermath of it all, however looking strictly
from a betting perspective, then it becomes a lot easier to take a
definitive view in favour of a few ball clubs.
foremost, the Atlanta Falcons made it very clear that they are
all about winning the Super Bowl next year as they essentially traded
away most of next year's draft to get Julio Jones onto their roster.
With a respectable offensive line, a very solid young quarter back in
Matt Ryan, two Pro Bowl targets in Roddy White and Anthony Gonzalez and a
beast of a running back in Michael Turner, this has to be the best
offense in the NFL now. There is no question that the Falcons have
sacrificed future development in order to bring in Jones, however if you
bet on the Falcons winning the big prize next year and they fall short,
you don't care how they perform in 2012 - that's of no relevance
whatsoever. Whether they have done the right thing for the franchise
remains to be seen - whether they have increased the appeal of the 16/1
available from Victor Chandler about an Atlanta Super Bowl is not in
question - they've got one step closer to the Vince Lombardi trophy,
that's a certainty.
In the AFC South, the Indianapolis Colts also
made a very clear statement that they are going all out next year by
Castonzo and Benjamin Ijalana in order to give Peyton Manning more
protection. There was a real case to be made for the Colts drafting a
quarterback in order to begin preparing for life after Peyton, however
yet again we're looking from a betting point of view, where anything
after next year is irrelevant - and so the Colts did the right thing by
us. They possibly could have done a little more to help out a secondary
that seemed to lose a step last year, but the idea of Peyton Manning
having even more time to improvise is a scary thought for any defense.
16/1 is freely available about the Colts and looks like a good option.
further down the betting list, the Kansas City Chiefs are 40/1
with Stan James, Betfred and Skybet to go all the way next year and
while they've been written off by a lot of pundits as one hit wonders,
there is a lot of talent in that team, enough to warrant genuine
consideration. Of course it doesn't hurt that they will be part of the
hapless AFC west next year, where Oakland continue to be a mess and San
Diego get older and more mediocre by the year. Denver could have a great
linebacking group next year after drafting Von Miller, but they'll
still concede a lot of four and five yard runs with that defensive line,
and Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones is just the kind of backfield
attack that can run all over teams like the Broncos.
receiver Jon Baldwin is a little similar to Dwayne Bowe in that he will
be a deep threat who can jump over cornerbacks and safeties to make the
big plays, however if Todd Haley does as good a job in calming him down
as he has done with Dwayne Bowe, that's a twin threat that few secondary
units are capable of containing.
Finally I'll really be looking
forward to seeing the Detroit Lions in 2011 and 50/1 with Betfred
could yet be worth a little nibble. Nick Fairley packing down alongside
Ndakamong Suh is an awesome prospect and one that will have opposing
quarterbacks quivering in fear. Yes there are real weaknesses in the
Lions' secondary, however it becomes a lot easier to play cornerback or
safety when your defensive line is pushing the pile back and opposing
quarterbacks are scrambling for their lives.
Betting on the Lions
is betting on Matt Stafford's fitness to a certain degree, but with a
comparitively easy schedule and a lot of good talent coming on board,
they have to be respected this coming season and are well worth having
on side at 50/1.